By your intelligent and obviously very well informed comments mighty wind, I can condifently assume you are far better placed in the web market than I to judge weather or not the scales are beggining to tip the other way as far as supply and demand are concerned. This is a subject that interests me greatly as I believe very much in economic cycles, and, after 10 years+ of over capacity in most areas of the Print industry and eroding margins as a result, are we slowly starting to turn a corner (led by web)?
If this happens in Web, it will almost certainly be followed by other areas of the industry (just as the original down turn did 10 years ago). I believe margins in Direct Mail manufacturing of which i have slightly more knowledge, 'bottomed out' about 18months ago and are already on the up, even in today's economic climate.
Whilst we are only seeing early signs of change and there is still along way to go, I don't think that many poeple out there actually realise what it could mean if capacity continues to shrink as companies go to the wall, and there continues to be a decline in skills throughout the industry.
It would almost certainly mean; some real margin back in the manufacturing side of the industry, less buying power from the 'print manager', end users being more keen to sign contracts with manufactures, capacity attracting premiums, etc.
Bi-products of this would eventually be; complacancy amongst manufacturers, service levels perhaps dropping,less competition, less innovation being offered, less flexibility being offered. In other words it becomes the 'sellers market'.
Funnily enough, does the last paragraph remind you of anything? Kind of reminds me of the mid nineties before overcacity started biting in the first place. Interesting stuff.
Maybe we've all had it tough for long enough